Where's all the wind?
Are we just that lucky? As of this April, all "experts" pointed to an active hurricane season. It is now late August and we have had...let me count 'em...three named storms. WOW, talk about a busy season. I'm amazed we can keep up.
These forecasts have now been revised and are lower than before.
Here are the respective forecasts.
There have been interim forecasts but August 3 represents the first change.
There is not much point here other than to ask the question. Why do we care what the forecasts is, and, if you do care, why do you care? Would you do things differently based on the forecast. If you are in the insurance industry, you might say you care because it helps you guage the effect of the season on your business. So, if you say that you care, my next question is this. How can you base your decisions on something that is more or less as wild ass guess?
These forecasts have now been revised and are lower than before.
Here are the respective forecasts.
| April 4, 2006 | August 3, 2006 | |
| Named Storms | 17 | 15 |
| Hurricanes | 9 | 7 |
| Intense Hurricanes | 5 | 3 |
There have been interim forecasts but August 3 represents the first change.
There is not much point here other than to ask the question. Why do we care what the forecasts is, and, if you do care, why do you care? Would you do things differently based on the forecast. If you are in the insurance industry, you might say you care because it helps you guage the effect of the season on your business. So, if you say that you care, my next question is this. How can you base your decisions on something that is more or less as wild ass guess?
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home